Epistemics – weighing truth

• Forecasting tools / prediction markets
  • Metaculus, Polymarket, Manifold.markets, Futur, Kalshi
  • Danny Halawi using GPT for better forecasting
• Rootclaim – https://www.rootclaim.com
• Squiggle – programing language https://www.squiggle-language.com/docs/Api/Input
• Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions by https://sage-future.org
• Estimaker https://estimaker.app Katja Grace’s AI model

Epistemics – new norms, education

• Potentially for larger audience
  • CFAR workshop
  • Ways to structure conversation by https://elliotolds.com
• More for expert audiences
  • Good judgment course – https://good-judgment.thinkific.com by Philip Tetlock
• Other
  • Dialectica gdoc by Jarred Filmer – tool to improve 1:1 conversation
  • Double crux bot from LessWrong – link
  • Debate devil – challenge your viewpoint

Coordination – small groups, teams

• https://deliberation.stanford.edu/tools-and-resources/online-deliberation-platform – group video that manages sepaking turns for more structured and equitable conversations

Coordination – large groups

• Polis – pol.is
• Talk to the city – https://talktothecity.org (I work on this project)
• Clio by Anthropic – https://assets.anthropic.com/m/7e1ab885d1b24176/original/Clio-Privacy-Preserving-Insights-into-Real-World-AI-Use.pdf
• OpenBallot – openballot.app (I work on this project)
• Lightcone Chord
• Meaning Alignment Institute – What are human values, and how do we align AI to them? https://www.meaningalignment.org
• Basalt (my project, inactive)