Weighing truth

• Forecasting tools / prediction markets
  • Metaculus, Polymarket, Manifold.markets, Futur, Kalshi
  • Danny Halawi using GPT for better forecasting
• Rootclaim – https://www.rootclaim.com
• Squiggle – programing language https://www.squiggle-language.com/docs/Api/Input
• Fatebook and Quantified Intuitions by https://sage-future.org
• Estimaker https://estimaker.app Katja Grace’s AI model

Teaching new norms / new ideasbr

• Potentially for larger audience
  • CFAR workshop
  • Ways to structure conversation by https://elliotolds.com
• More for expert audiences
  • Good judgment training
• Other
  • Dialectica gdoc by Jarred Filmer – tool to improve 1:1 conversation
  • Double crux bot from LessWrong – link

Coordination – large groups

• Polis – pol.is
• Talk to the city – https://talktothecity.org (I work for this project)
• OpenBallot – openballot.app (I work for this project)
• Lightcone Chord
• Basalt (my project, inactive)

Coordination – small groups, teams

• https://deliberation.stanford.edu/tools-and-resources/online-deliberation-platform – group video that manages sepaking turns for more structured and equitable conversations

Voting / polling

• https://viewpoints.xyz/